The Who2 Blog

Punxsutawney Phil is the Jimi Hendrix of Bad Weather Forecasting

“Groundhog Day is a lot like a rock concert but the people are better behaved and there’s a groundhog involved.”

That’s Tom Chapin, editor of the Punxsutawney Spirit newspaper, with one of the better groundhog quotes of the century thus far.

Mr. Chapin is talking, of course, about Groundhog Day at Gobbler’s Knob, where the legendary Punxsutawney Phil makes his prediction on Tuesday morning.

Rock star or no, Phil gets called out by the National Geographic in a new article:

While Phil’s proponents maintain that his predictions are 100 percent accurate, the U.S. National Climatic Data Center has estimated that Phil is only correct about 40 percent of the time.

The NCDC reached their conclusion by taking Phil’s predictions and comparing them with average temperatures in February and March. In many years when Phil predicted six more weeks of winter weather, February and March turned out to be warmer than average.

Oof! Well, plenty of rock stars can’t really sing so well, either.  It’s all about image.

National Geographic also claims Phil is not immortal, which only adds insult to injury and flat-out isn’t polite.  Just let the poor groundhog do his thing and go back to bed. 

Groundhog.org will have Phil’s prediction on Tuesday morning.  Rock on, PP!

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